Wrapping up September

Fire Weather is Quieter, Until Next Week ⭐⭐

• There is a lack of widespread elevated fire weather risk and that will mostly continue this week

• Certainly some parts of the Great Basin and Rockies will have isolated strong winds in addition to dry conditions that could spread wildfires

• Looking ahead, there is concern about warming temperatures next week to end September

• This excessive heat looks to stick around in early October

• Heat is not the only ingredient for wildfires, wind is included for rapid spread and dry fuels are need, which is already happening

Atlantic Tropics are Moderately Active ⭐⭐

• Tropical Depression Beta finally made landfall in Texas and will bring flooding rain there today as it nearly stalls over the state

• The rain threat shifts to Louisiana tomorrow

• Teddy is causing high surf on nearly every Atlantic coast in the western hemisphere

• Paulette is a zombie

• There is one obnoxious low in the Gulf with a low chance of formation but likely rain for southern Florida

• Fortunately there are not any obvious forecasts for strong cyclones in the next two weeks

First Day of Fall, Temperatures Acting Fall-ish ⭐

• What defines Fall just as much as the cooler temperatures is the divide in temperatures

• Cooler East and warmer West looks to last through this month

⚡ This Saturday is a fee-free day for National Parks.

⚡ Fall foliage is upon us, this prediction map is probably just based on climatology and not current conditions.