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So many cyclones

  • Writer: wxsherri
    wxsherri
  • Jul 24, 2020
  • 2 min read

Let's Start With Hanna in the Gulf of Mexico ⭐⭐

  • Hanna is just barely a tropical storm, surrounded by warm water and not much else to deter it

  • It is less than 300 miles from Corpus Christi and is moving along at a respectable 9 mph

  • Hanna looks pretty good in the Gulf this morning

  • It will strengthen before it reaches land but does not have enough time to reach hurricane strength

  • Heavy rain for southern Texas is the biggest impact

  • Winds will be gusty and storm surge seems mostly low

  • Landfall is likely early Saturday afternoon

  • The tropical storm warnings issued locally by the NWS offices is loaded with information, especially a label for each type of impact ranging from significant to limited

  • Impacts will lessen through the day on Sunday

And Then There is Douglas in the Pacific ⭐⭐

  • Douglas is a formidable major hurricane heading west in the Pacific

  • It is moving into colder water, which hurricanes hate, and the intensity will gradually drop

  • The current forecast brings Douglas across Hawaii as a weak hurricane or strong tropical storm on Sunday

  • Watches are coming today for Hawaii

  • Three impacts are most likely: dangerous surf, flooding rain, and strong winds; the terrain of Hawaii will make for stronger threats of landslides

  • Hawaii provides a statewide forecast discussion

Gonzalo Is An Interesting Forecast ⭐

  • Gonzalo (gohn-SAH-loh) is not the most healthy looking cyclone in the basin

  • It is a small cyclone, and they have the trickiest intensity forecasts because they are likely to intensify more quickly than models indicate

  • The current forecasts don't bring Gonzalo to hurricane strength

  • In fact, the current forecast dissipates Gonzalo in the Caribbean

  • It'll be windy, rainy, no fun weather for the Windward Islands on Saturday

Other Tropical Concerns ⭐

  • A wave is moving off Africa and across the Atlantic; this one reaches the Caribbean this time next week

  • The EURO ensembles are pointing to a low forming off the Mid-Atlantic coast next week and moving east

In Other Weather ⭐

  • Some stronger storms are likely this weekend in the northern Plains/Upper Midwest

  • Today, big heat is forecasted in Upper Midwest; Minneapolis heat index could hit 103°

  • This weekend and Monday, the heat turns up in the Northeast and Northwest


⚡ Tropical Tidbits has amazing tropical data by storm. There is also a helpful analysis via a video blog.

 
 
 

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